2024 Oscars Nomination Predictions For Every Category

Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:


Weekly Commentary (Updated Oct. 27, 2023): There were news and shifts to the Oscar race in the past week.

This week’s column focuses on the late-comers of the season including “The Color Purple,” “The Iron Claw” and “Napoleon.”

“All of Us Strangers” led the Gotham Awards nominations while “Past Lives” and “A Thousand and One” were second in line with three apiece.

Ava DuVernay’s “Origin” has been deemed an original screenplay by the WGA. At the same time, Jeff Nichols’ “The Bikeriders” remains in question on whether or not it will be released this year (pending a SAG-AFTRA resolution).

“American Fiction” won its third Audience Award and catapulted in several categories.

Most significant chart gains: Cord Jefferson’s “American Fiction” skyrockets after winning its third Audience Award at the Middleburg Film Festival.

Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Oscars predictions in all categories.

The 96th Oscars will be held on Sunday, March 10, 2024.

The submission deadline for general categories is Nov. 18, 2023. Preliminary shortlist voting will begin on Dec. 18, with the results announced on Dec. 21. The voting period will run from Jan. 11-16, 2024, with the official nominations announcement on Jan. 23.


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